澳元兑美元:保持在0.7370下方则看跌立场不变 - 德国商业银行

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德国商业银行(Commerzbank)固定收益技术分析主管凯伦·琼斯(Karen Jones)表示,只要汇价位于0.7370区域下方,则澳元兑美元的前景预计仍将保持负面。

核心要点

澳元兑美元近期的强势被视为修正性反弹。市场最近上行受制于4个月下行趋势线0.7370水平,我们将保留负面偏见。初始阻力位于0.7313的55日移动均线。

我们预计澳元兑美元会跌至8月低点0.7106。关键支撑位仍为0.7062/.6991。这代表了2020年9月和11月低点。跌破0.6991将引发进一步跌至2020-2021年波幅的50%斐波那契回撤位0.6760。

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