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Upbeat NFP not a reason to long US dollar – Nomura

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Analysts at Nomura offered their response to the US Non-farm payrolls report and its implications on the US dollar.

Key quotes

“The better than forecast NFP result is not a reason to turn to a long US dollar position.

The EUR sell-off result in response to the release was due to a crowded long position only.

That there may be reasons ahead to turn bullish on the US dollar:

if lockdowns extend in Europe,

if the European Central Bank cuts interest rates,

and if US-China trade tensions escalate.”

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oh okay!
hmm right!
Also need to factor in the presidential election in early November - as it might have bearings on the pair.
Stronger US unemployment rate and wage growth data continue to lend support to the dollar bulls. The dollar could likely hold its upbeat momentum amid light trading and tepid risk tone...

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