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法国农业信贷:澳美两国央行态度存在差异 澳元多头需保持谨慎

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法国农业信贷银行(Credit Agricole)周三(3月4日)撰文称,通过观察美联储和澳洲联储的态度,有两个原因我们必须对澳元多头保持谨慎。

  法国农业信贷银行分析师表示:“澳洲联储出于对第一季度GDP萎缩的担忧,昨日降息25个基点。然而美联储随后以外降息50个基点,展现出他们的快速宽松立场。不过澳洲联储似乎只愿意再降息一次,同样是25个基点,接着便会再度进入观望模式。反观美联储,他们有着更大的降息看空间,因此这可能令澳元多头跃跃欲试。”

  该行分析师补充道:“尽管如此,我们依然对看多澳元持谨慎态度,主要有两个原因。第一、新型冠状病毒可能会迫使澳洲联储进一步降息,即便其不愿意。第二、如果疫情得到缓解,美联储回调的动作可能会快于澳洲联储。”

  北京时间02:42,澳元/美元报0.6615。

 

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