在未来10年的外汇交易中，欧美货币对（EUR/USD）最有可能发生的事，是随着全球金融体系向多极化演变，欧元的国际储备货币地位将稳步提升。受美欧经济基本面与货币政策周期分化的影响，欧元兑美元汇率大概率会呈现震荡上行的趋势，逐步向1.25甚至更高的区间迈进。
而最不可能发生的事，是美元彻底失去全球核心储备货币的地位，或是欧元完全取代美元成为单极霸权。尽管美元信用面临挑战，但其深厚的金融市场根基难以在短期内崩塌。同时，受限于欧元区内部经济结构的不平衡，欧元也难以独挑大梁，未来更可能形成美元与欧元等多货币共存、相互制衡的全球金融新格局。
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