正常情况下国内黄金TD和国际金价的价差会稳定在0到0.2美元/盎司之间，但当国内买盘突然爆发或国际金价快速拉升时，价差会短期扩大，之后又会向合理区间回归。比如当国内因为节日消费潮把TD价格推高，让溢价率超过0.5%时，说明国内买力已经透支，后续更可能跟着国际金价的回调而回落，这时候你做空的胜率会更高；反过来当国内恐慌性抛售让溢价率跌到-0.5%以下，往往是短期超卖信号，适合做多来等待价差回归。
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