从经济、民意与政治环境综合判断，英国重返欧盟整体概率中等偏低。近五年内回归可能性仅12%左右，十年内概率约30%，十五年长期概率可达45%。
近年英国民间对脱欧反思情绪上升，经济贸易受脱欧持续影响，年轻群体普遍倾向加强欧英合作。但现阶段英国政坛并无入盟规划，同时欧盟准入条件严格，涉及主权规则、市场制度、区域管理等多重门槛，谈判流程漫长复杂。
结合社会代际更替与经济走势，英国不会短期内正式重返欧盟。最有可能的时间窗口集中在10—15年区间，大概率先深化经贸合作，再逐步推进一体化对接。
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