石油價格回落,外交談判預期在停火期限前壓制油價

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伊朗议会议长兼首席谈判代表 Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf 表示,德黑兰不会在“美国威胁的阴影下”进行谈判——这让市场的地缘政治风险持续升温。

伊朗国家媒体也释放强硬信号,但 The Wall Street Journal 报道称,伊朗可能仍将在本周派代表团前往巴基斯坦,暗示或存在“幕后外交”。

对外汇和风险资产而言,这种矛盾信号至关重要:在周三停火到期前,美伊谈判是否重启仍不明朗,预计将使油价维持波动、美元偏强,以及避险资产(如黄金/日元)受到支撑

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