本周EUR/USD料呈1.1700-1.1850区间震荡格局，多空博弈加剧，关键点位突破将决定后续方向 。
技术面看，汇价当前报1.1785，RSI指标自超买区间回落至55附近，显示上行动能减弱但未转空。日线布林带上轨1.1850构成强阻力，中轨1.1630提供核心支撑，9日EMA1.1701为短线关键防线 。4小时级别呈技术性回调修正，多空力量趋于均衡。
基本面主导因素有三：一是美伊谈判与中东局势进展，4月22日停火到期若未延期，美元避险需求或升温；二是欧洲央行官员讲话与欧元区PMI数据，将影响降息预期；三是美联储褐皮书与核心PCE数据，主导美元中期走势 。
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