半年后黄金和石油大概率上演反向跷跷板，通俗说就是你涨我跌、各玩各的。石油受地缘与供需拉扯，上半年冲高后大概率回落，回到80-95美元区间震荡，不会一直疯涨，毕竟高油价会压需求，局势一缓和溢价就消失。
黄金则要看美联储脸色，降息落地后大概率企稳反弹，重回高位区间。央行持续买金也会托底，不会跌得太惨。
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