下周外汇市场大概率美元偏强震荡,非美货币整体承压,人民币维持区间波动。
近期美联储释放偏鹰信号,降息预期延后,叠加油价高位扰动通胀预期,支撑美元指数走强。中东局势仍有不确定性,避险资金倾向美元。欧元、英镑等受经济复苏偏弱影响,难有明显反弹。国内经济平稳、汇率调控工具充足,人民币兑美元大概率在合理区间双向波动,不会单边走弱。整体市场以谨慎震荡为主,波动幅度较本周有所收敛。
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