- 短期（1-3个月）：高位震荡、易涨难跌。冲突升级则上探5400 ；缓和则回踩5000支撑。
- 中期（6-12个月）：震荡上行。降息落地 央行持续购金 去美元化，目标5800-6200美元/盎司。
- 操作建议：不追高、回调分批买；紧盯伊朗反击、油价、美联储信号。
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