Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of February 23 - 27, 2026 (GMT+8)
This week’s macro calendar is anchored by late-week U.S. inflation and labour signals, with U.S. PPI as the main trigger for USD repricing. Early in the week, BoE Gov Bailey’s remarks can drive GBP volatility, while U.S. CB Consumer Confidence sets the tone for demand expectations. Mid-week, U.S. President Trump’s comments may spark headline-driven swings, and German GDP plus EU CPI will shape EUR rate expectations. Crude Oil Inventories could spill into inflation pricing and USD cross-flows. The week closes with German CPI followed closely by U.S. PPI which brings a tight back-to-back inflation window where EUR and USD can move fast.
| Time | Cur. | Events | Fcst | Prev |
| GBP | ||||
| USD | ||||
| U.S. President Trump Speaks | ||||
| German GDP (QoQ) (Q4) | ||||
| CPI (YoY) (Jan) | ||||
| Crude Oil Inventories | ||||
| German CPI (MoM) (Feb) | ||||
| PPI (MoM) (Jan) |
| Key highlights: |
🇬🇧 BoE Gov Bailey Speaks – Tuesday 21:15
🇺🇸 CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) – Tuesday 22:00
🇺🇸 U.S. President Trump Speaks – Wednesday 09:00
🇩🇪 German GDP (QoQ) (Q4) – Wednesday 14:00
🇪🇺 CPI (YoY) (Jan) – Wednesday 17:00
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – Wednesday 22:30
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – Thursday 20:30
🇩🇪 German CPI (MoM) (Feb) – Friday 20:00
🇺🇸 PPI (MoM) (Jan) – Friday 20:30
Macro Analysis:
🇬🇧 BoE Communication Trigger (Bailey Speaks) – Tue: A guidance-sensitive GBP volatility point. Any hints on inflation persistence, growth risks, or rate-path direction can quickly reprice GBP pairs.
🇩🇪 EUR Growth Anchor (German GDP QoQ, Q4) – Wed: Shapes the EUR growth narrative. A stronger print supports EUR via improved growth confidence; a weaker print leans defensive and can pressure EUR through softer rate expectations.
Speculative Outlook for USD Traders:
This is a late-week inflation + labour week, so positioning can reprice fast depending on claims (Thu) and PPI (Fri), with extra whipsaw risk from headline events and oil-driven inflation expectations.
🟢 Bullish USD Scenario
CB Consumer Confidence (Tue 22:00) prints stronger (demand resilience supports yields)
Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 20:30) come in lower (labour stays tight)
Crude Oil Inventories (Wed 22:30) show a draw that supports oil/inflation expectations
PPI (MoM) (Fri 20:30) prints firmer (sticky inflation / higher-yield narrative)
🔴 Bearish USD Scenario
CB Consumer Confidence (Tue 22:00) disappoints (growth concern builds)
Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 20:30) surprise higher (cooling growth signal)
Crude Oil Inventories (Wed 22:30) show a build that pressures oil / cools inflation expectations
PPI (MoM) (Fri 20:30) comes in softer (disinflation narrative strengthens, yields ease)
🟡 Wild Cards (High Whipsaw Risk)
Headline-driven spikes: “Speaks” events (Wed 09:00, Tue 21:15) can create fast, reversal-prone moves
Tight back-to-back inflation window (Fri 20:00 → 20:30): German CPI then U.S. PPI can cause rapid EUR/USD two-way volatility
Oil-to-FX spillover: A surprise crude inventory swing can distort inflation pricing and trigger sudden USD repricing
Mixed signals: Strong confidence but weaker claims (or vice versa) can produce choppy, non-trending USD action
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