Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of December 8 - 13, 2025 (GMT+8)
This week's macro calendar is packed with central bank decisions, inflation data, and bond auctions that can move FX, rates, and risk assets. From Japan’s Q3 GDP on Monday to the Fed and SNB on Thursday and UK/German data on Friday, traders should prepare for sharp intraday swings, especially on USD pairs and crosses linked to JPY, AUD, CAD, CHF, GBP, and EUR.
| Time | Cur. | Events | Fcst | Prev |
|
Monday, December 8, 2025
|
||||
|
JPY
|
GDP (QoQ) (Q3)
|
-0.4%
|
-0.4%
|
|
|
Tuesday, December 9, 2025
|
||||
| AUD |
RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec)
|
3.6%
|
||
|
USD
|
JOLTS Job Openings (Sep) |
7.227M
|
||
|
USD
|
10-Year Note Auction
|
4.074% | ||
| USD | Core CPI (MoM) (Oct) | 0.2% | ||
| USD | CPI (MoM) (Oct) | 0.3% | ||
|
USD
|
CPI (YoY) (Oct) | 3% | ||
|
CAD
|
BoC Interest Rate Decision | 2.25% | ||
| USD | FOMC Economic Projections | |||
| USD | FOMC Statement | |||
| USD | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4% | ||
| USD | FOMC Press Conference | |||
| CHF | SNB Interest Rate Decision (Q4) | |||
| USD | Initial Jobless Claims | 0% | ||
| USD | 30-Year Bond Auction | 4.69% | ||
| GBP | GDP (MoM) (Oct) | -0.10% | ||
| EUR | German CPI (MoM) (Nov) | -0.20% | 0.30% | |
| Key highlights: |
Macro Analysis
Japan GDP (Q3)
Released early Monday, Japan’s Q3 GDP will show whether growth momentum is stabilising or fading. A weak print would reinforce a dovish BoJ outlook and pressure JPY, while a strong surprise could trigger short-covering against USD and AUD.
U.S. CPI & Labor
CPI on Wednesday is the main risk event; a hotter print supports the “higher for longer” Fed narrative and boosts USD, while a soft reading does the opposite. Jobless Claims on Thursday will confirm whether the labour market is cooling or still resilient, shaping how aggressively markets price future Fed cuts.
FOMC Decision & Projections
The Fed’s rate decision, dot plot and press conference will decide if guidance stays hawkish or edges toward a clearer pivot. A firm stance on inflation is USD-positive; a more dovish tone that stresses growth risks could trigger a broad dollar pullback and lift risk assets.
UK GDP & German CPI
UK GDP (MoM) will test how much higher rates are weighing on real activity, with GBP reacting most if the number diverges from expectations. German CPI (MoM) is a key signal for Eurozone inflation; a hot print supports EUR, while a soft one reinforces the disinflation story.
Speculative Outlook for USD Traders
This week is a CPI–and–FOMC minefield for dollar bulls and bears. Here’s how it could play out:
🟢 Bullish USD Scenario
CPI prints hot (core and headline above consensus)
FOMC dots and statement stay hawkish
Jobless Claims remain low
10Y/30Y auctions clear at higher yields
🔴 Bearish USD Scenario
CPI disappoints on the downside
FOMC tone shifts dovish, dots edge lower
Jobless Claims spike higher
Bond auctions show strong demand and falling yields
🟡 Wild Card: BoC & SNB Surprises
BoC signals more concern on inflation or growth than expected, jolting CAD and USD/CAD
SNB adopts a more hawkish (or less tolerant) stance on CHF strength
Watch full calendar at Followme Economic Calendar Tool
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