. 美元（USD）
近期表现：美元指数（DXY）近期呈现震荡偏强走势，主要受以下因素影响：
美联储政策预期：市场对美联储降息时点的预期推迟（从6月延至9月），因美国通胀数据（如3月PCE）仍高于目标，且就业市场韧性较强。
避险需求：地缘政治风险（中东局势、俄乌冲突）和全球经济增长担忧支撑美元避险买盘。
非美货币疲软：欧元区经济低迷、日本央行鸽派立场等因素间接推高美元。
关键水平：美元指数关注105-106阻力区，若突破可能进一步上行；下方支撑在103.5附近。
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