明确震荡和趋势，这是第一步。
什么是震荡，什么是趋势；什么条件是震荡出现的苗头，需要警惕，什么条件是震荡的大概率可能，什么条件是震荡的确认；什么条件是震荡结束的苗头，什么条件是震荡结束的很大可能，什么是震荡结束的确认。用什么工具，道氏、均线、趋势系统或其他指标。
这一步并不难，趋势和震荡在指标上有着明显的区别，初期的表现或许需要反复去观察，反复地确认，但一旦行情确定了那么接下来需要的就只是具体的操作手法了。
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