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DooPrime德璞大宝

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【凯投宏观:货币政策不太可能受潜在油价上涨的影响】4月15日讯,凯投宏观分析师说,中东紧张局势可能导致油价上涨,这可能会使将通胀降至目标水平的努力复杂化,但预计不会对各国央行的决策产生实质性影响。布伦特原油价格上周已从一个月前的每桶83美元左右升至90美元以上。不过,他们在报告中表示,“要对货币政策产生重大影响,需要油价出现更大幅度、更持续的上涨。具体来说,这可能需要更高的能源价格来反馈到核心通胀中,例如因为生产商将更高的能源成本转嫁给了消费者。”凯投宏观说,预计美联储将在9月开始降息,而如果能源价格在下个月没有急剧上升,欧洲央行和英国央行可能会在6月份降息。
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DooPrime德璞大宝
 

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