低风险偏好投资者于降息正式来临前涌入美债
圣诞节假期结束恢复交易后，美国10年期公债利率下滑至3.88%，仍然接近7月底以来的最低水平。此降幅归因于美国公布通胀淡化数据，推升来年更早、更大幅度的降息预期。
上周五的最新数据显示，11月美国PCE物价指数下降0.1%，这是自2022年2月以来首见下滑，超出华尔街持平的预测。
目前，市场押注联准会于3月例会降息25个基点的可能性为75%。依CME FedWatch 工具显示，明年总共降息预计将超过150个基点。
(美国十年期公债利率)
(2024三月美联储利率预测，CME FedWatch Tool)
Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.
FOLLOWME Trading Community Website: https://www.followme.com
Hot
No comment on record. Start new comment.