加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)的报告预测,明年上半年原油库存将每日减少70万桶,全年减少14万桶。报告指出油价可能会持续波动,直到市场明确看到产油国自愿减产的效果为止。此外贝克休斯油田服务公司的报告显示,截至12月8日,美国原油探勘井数量增加1座至626座,为连续第4周增加。整体而论,考量探勘井数量持续增长,油市可能供过于求,故美油以偏空布局为主要思路。
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