经历一年多的激进加息周期,彭博经济研究公司计算的借贷成本总体指标显示,本季度全球借贷成本将继续上行,达到6.25%的峰值,比前一季度预测的6%有所上升。
然而,总体利率上行,掩盖不了全球央行分道扬镳的罕见趋势。
通胀高企的背景下,分析预计,美联储、欧洲央行、加拿大央行将在7月继续加息,日本、俄罗斯央行或在年内逐步削减甚至取消刺激措施,印度和南非等央行按兵不动,巴西央行开闸放水,中国央行则出台更多政策支持经济。
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