美银:六大因素指向美元“入熊”,这些资产将成赢家

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美银首席投资官Michael Hartnett在他最新的FlowShow笔记中预计美元将进入熊市,美元指数将下跌20%。追踪美元指数的最大交易所交易基金景顺DB美元指数看涨基金(UUP)今年迄今下跌了2%。Hartnett指出,市场正在进入一个充满冲突、地缘政治孤立主义、民粹主义、财政过剩、国家干预、监管和再分配的新时期。这些因素将导致全球出现3%-4%的通胀率和3%-4%的利率。从长远来看,Hartnett师预计美元将贬值20%,信贷和股票的年收益最多为3%-4%。这位策略师调侃道,“在缺乏耐心的空头中,我们仍然保持耐心”。


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