成功交易的基本套路

最后发一篇成功交易的基本方法，这里以短线交易为例说明，中长线也类似，只是时间更宽裕。交易当然是短线为王，资金量太大，亏不起的只能降低相对收益率，退而求其次往长线走。

撰写详细案例比较费时间，直接拿网上现成的英文材料做点评。

How Much Money Can You Make From Stocks?

I have been trading for 17 years, and in my experience, beginners can expect to make 60% per year. And here’s how to do it:

1. Let’s say you start with a $10,000 account.
2. You should never risk more than 2% of your account on any given trade. When you start with $10,000, that would be $200 per trade.
3. As a goal, you should try to make 1.5 times as much money as you risk.

So if you risk $200, try to make $300 on this trade.

Let’s say you make 10 trades per month. And let’s assume that half of your trades are losing trades because losses are part of your life as a trader.

So here’s the math:

• You have 5 losing trades, and you lose $200 per trade = -$1,000
• You have 5 winning trades, and you make $300 per trade = $1,500

So, at the end of the month, you have $500 left, even though half of your trades were losing trades.

There are 12 months in a year, so 12 * $500 is $6,000 based on a $10,000 account.

要实现这个交易计划，你首先要有方法能两天找出一只涨幅超过3%的股票，说起来容易，做起来需要方法的，在1万只股票中去统计，发现每天直接涨跌幅超过3%的只占20%多，就是要五选一过滤。

资金止损设置为2%很容易，会算数就行了。盈亏比1.5，就是盈利要达到或高于3%，为什么不做盈亏比2以上呢，不是越高越好吗？因为通过经验知道，价格摆动的结果，更高的目标不容易实现。可能没有到目标之前，先扫止损了。当然有能力实现更高的，市场也存在机会，就看个人本事了。

胜率为50%，事实上如果你优先考虑盈亏比，那胜率就是开放条件了。这里假设为五五开，是为了算账推理，为了心理安慰，如果连一胜一负都做不好，那水平就得继续去学了，别动资金了。实际上也是很难实现的，如果方法不够的话。5胜5负是总数，如果先出现5连亏呢，还敢做下去吗？怎样才能最大程度保证不出现两连亏和更糟糕的情况出现？自己琢磨。

有交易候选名单，有工作方法，紧接着的问题，开盘后如何选择出入场点，这是实现盈亏的最关键了，怎样解决，只能靠看盘功夫了。怎样练习看盘，识别价格运动，这里也不多说，推荐一个英文视频去看，

5 steps to finding today's trades. How to recognize patterns to anticipate what will follow to structure and manage trades successfully.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

YouTube视频，看不到，看不懂的就先没有机会，或许只能去看书了

想透彻了整个套路，就够复杂了。分批出入场的，可以合并为平均价看待。不要搞复杂的对冲，降低资金使用率，使行情研判更复杂。

外汇市场类似，每天涨幅超0.5%的可能有十几二十个货币对，可以按涨幅排序研究，不重复多说。

先忙交易，好一阵不再登坛了