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上海疫情灾难的逻辑

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分析一波上海疫情灾难的逻辑:

1、不能因为这次疫情的爆发, 就否认上海两年的成功抗疫成果。

2、用金融的词来说,华亭宾馆事件是个黑天鹅事件。即华亭宾馆事件,远超上海已有预案的承载水平。

3、再用金融词来解说角色:  北京拥有最高决策权。上海拥有地方有限的决策权,可以认为上海是操盘手

4、操盘手没有清盘止损权限,只有在有限规则内的执行权限。

5、黑天鹅发生时,决策层没有给予执行层特大事件应急预案。导致于官僚体系的层层汇报瞒报,进度缓慢,损失扩大。

​6 结果,上海爆仓。

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