分析一波上海疫情灾难的逻辑：
1、不能因为这次疫情的爆发， 就否认上海两年的成功抗疫成果。
2、用金融的词来说，华亭宾馆事件是个黑天鹅事件。即华亭宾馆事件，远超上海已有预案的承载水平。
3、再用金融词来解说角色： 北京拥有最高决策权。上海拥有地方有限的决策权，可以认为上海是操盘手
4、操盘手没有清盘止损权限，只有在有限规则内的执行权限。
5、黑天鹅发生时，决策层没有给予执行层特大事件应急预案。导致于官僚体系的层层汇报瞒报，进度缓慢，损失扩大。
6 结果，上海爆仓。
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