美联储taper在即，加息前景也日益强硬，美元整体上是看涨的，但是美联储本身仍是鸽派，每跨一步都极为谨慎，因此上涨的过程将是震荡式，波动的节奏与市场的情绪相合。
当前欧元已经跌了较多，有很大的反弹需求，预计将出现短期的反弹，上方看1.177左右；期间有回撤均可做多；
逼近1.177后，则反弹充分，仍转为看空，新一个下跌波段必破前低1.1686；
当前整体波动节奏很清晰，是做单的好时机。
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