原油

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原油方面:本周油市基本面没有什么大新闻,且油价似乎对相关数据“视而不见”,周三(7月21日)EIA和API库存数据严重不佳,而油价反弹我行我素。事实上,油价的波动更多是市场情绪的即时反映,在这一点上,市场情绪又取决于投资者对消息的解读,总体来看,油价走势还是遵循大的基本面运行。当前油市大的基本面,当然是需求端复苏强劲。截至目前,认为全球油市需求端复苏强劲的声音仍处于高位,专业机构的集体看多令投资者相信,疫情对需求端的破坏程度被夸大,而OPEC 历史性的减产进一步加大供应与需求的错配。后续欧美地区经济数据如果继续修好,油价有机会重拾升势。

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