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启汇说油: 疫苗研发重燃买盘希望,美油单日飙升10%重返40关口

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美油昨日飙升10%上探41.7阻力位置,因新冠疫苗研发取得满意结果,市场对全球经济前景重燃希望,这将帮助人们恢复正常生活,提振原油的购买需求。疫苗的成果对于原油来说意义重大,因原油是日常生活中必不可少的商品,一旦经济复苏走向正轨,各国将逐步恢复对原油的消耗需求。虽然疫苗的研发进展实属利好消息,但在疫苗未能完全推出之前,其中仍有不确定因素存在。


供给方面,利比亚在上周六的原油产量已经达到了100万桶/日,并且可能再一个月内达到130万桶/日,利比亚石油公司负责人表示在产量稳定在170万桶/日之前不会加入欧佩克的减产计划。这对油价来说无疑是个严重的打击。好在欧佩克主要成员国对减产延缓抱有积极的态度,沙特能源达成在昨日的会议中表示可能和欧佩克+联盟对减产协议进行调整,但是仍然担心在拜登当选后放松对伊朗和委内瑞拉的制裁,这意味着未来原油的产量进一步加大了欧佩克+实现供需平衡的难度。


技术面来看,美油前交易日欧美盘时段强势拉升上涨,击破39.5阻力位置,阻力转换为水平支撑,今日早盘价格在41.7遇阻下挫。H4级别RSI测试超买区域后技术回调,MACD双线给出多头信号且上行动能强劲,鳄鱼线也处于多头排列之中,短线趋势在回调后有望进一步上行。从盘面上来看价格再次回到了40整数关口附近,目前关注41.7位置阻力效果,若价格能延续多头动能突破41.7阻力位置中期趋势将进一步看涨。


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行情每天都有,追多杀空亦可,高抛低吸也罢,耐心与信心是制胜的关键。


由于网络推送延迟性,文章内容仅供参考,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。


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