油价下滑风险拖累加元,美加9月底前有望反弹至1.37

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①随着美国经济复苏放缓,大宗商品价格上行势头似乎即将消退,而疫情在其他主要地区出现第二波传播,对加拿大来说,其重要的出口商品石油的需求也因此面临挑战;

②相对于美国,加拿大的复苏预计将持续较长时间,这是加元明年整体走软的另一个因素;

③,美元加元预计在9月底前反弹至1.37,年底前反弹至1.38(直到2021年年中才会成拐点)

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