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老黑策略:3.12原油分析策略

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#WTI#【原油】(美油)

昨日没有虽冲高36一线,但并未能稳住,随即震荡再回落。晚间EIA原油库存数据增加,这对油价构成进一步打压,美油持续跌至32.6/5附近。

日线结构上,昨日日线收得一带有上影线的小阴,上方触及5日线未能突破,这样的走势基本确认未来美油整体还将持续弱势状态,加之沙特价格战不但未有缓和,反有升级趋势,基本面也会对油价构成进一步的打压,未来下方30一线恐再有跌破风险,且如果基本面一直未有利好消息的话,则美油真不排除市场预期的20目标的可能性,因此务必做好防范,切莫盲目抄底,多关注消息面影响,目前消息面才是主导行情走势的根本因素。

早间美油出现一波快速下跌,跌破31,目前行情表现出来的状态就是易跌难涨的状态,所以操作上也尽量以择高空为主,少去参与多单的尝试,以免不必要的风险。日内上方32.5-7短压,以及5日线34附近压力,下方则需重点关注30附近支撑测试,激进可在上述区间内轻仓低多高空,但切记切记,目前行情波动剧烈,仓位务必压低以抵抗持单风险,同时莫要盲目抄底,基本面消息利空阴霾不散的情况下,还是以空为主。

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