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老黑策略:1.9原油分析策略

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【原油】(美油)
因伊朗报复打击触发美油昨日一度拉升至65.6,然随后油价一路下跌调整,且因川普此前表示伊朗似乎已从冲突中收手,触发市场对于美伊冲突预期的大幅度降温,也导致美油出现暴跌,跌破60支撑,日线收得一超级大阴线。此阴线的出现不仅仅是因消息面突然缓和导致,也是前期持续上涨,没有得到很好的消化,空头动能被积压导致的。

老黑策略:1.9原油分析策略

目前美油已经回落,按照昨日大阴线的级别,短期内如果没有突发的基本面消息,那么美油大概率是会有延伸下跌的调整的,届时可能会去找60、200日线58附近支撑。而如果有所回弹,上方20日线61附近将会形成短线的主压,重要的压制位则看62附近。
操作上,鉴于昨日阴线力度较大,影响力不会短期就消减,所以日内激进可尝试以择高短空为主。
①日内回弹测压60.7、61附近激进轻仓搏短空,带止损61.3,目标下看60.5/4先改保本止损,至60附近减仓,剩余持单再看59.2-0,甚至58附近预期。
②如果日内回弹突破61.3,那么上方有待测压至62附近再考虑短空,届时盘中再做实时策略调整。
③如果日内回撤至59-58.7、58.3-0区域,盘中根据实际情况考虑能否入多。

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