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英镑/美元仍被低估11%—巴克莱资本

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英镑/美元仍被低估11%—巴克莱资本

FXStreet-巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)周四(4月20日)撰文就飙涨后的英镑进行分析。


英国宣布提前在6月8日举行大选,本行外汇策略研究团队预计该事件将对英镑构成持续支撑。不过,我们也意识到,地缘政治因素影响下的全球市场情绪仍是短线的关键性驱动因素。

在英国央行方面,我们不认为在此次的提前大选后,英国央行在货币政策立场上会有任何转变。

从实际有效汇率角度来看,我们认为英镑目前较其长期公允价格仍低估11%左右。我们认为在未来的几个季度中,英镑定价中的不确定性因素将被多数剔除。(来源:FXStreet)

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