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澳元/美元:内部因素VS外部因素,目标何在?—巴克莱资本

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澳元/美元:内部因素VS外部因素,目标何在?—巴克莱资本

FXStreet-巴克莱资本外汇分析师指出,澳元兑美元今年逐步回落,但澳大利亚国内基本面改善,澳储行鸽派立场软化应支持澳元,外部因素对澳元的支撑或减弱。


此外,巴克莱商品研究团队相信铁矿石价格上涨不可持续,预计在今年下半年铁矿石价格将跌至50.50美元/吨附近。

最后,巴克莱指出,澳大利亚-美国收益率息差将在2017年继续收窄,巴克莱预期美联储今年还将加息两次,而澳储行将按兵不动。

巴克莱预计今年第二、三、四季度末澳元兑美元目标将分别指向0.74, 0.73和0.72。(来源:FXStreet)

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