若OPEC无法达成协议 油价将面临下行风险-法国外贸银行

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若OPEC无法达成协议 油价将面临下行风险-法国外贸银行

石油输出国组织(OPEC)与俄罗斯即将于下周三(9月28日)在阿尔及利亚召开非正式会谈,讨论支持油市的措施。法国外贸银行认为尽管本次OPEC达成冻产协议的概率高于4月多哈峰会时的概率,但这个数字仍不到50%。

如果本次没有达成冻产协议,油价面临下行风险。若达不成冻产协议,预计布伦特油价今年第四季度料在每桶48美元,2017年第四季度料为每桶58美元。

此外,如果没有冻产协议,原油市场供求将在2017年底前恢复平衡。(来源:FXStreet)


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