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①我行上调了全球经济预测,因为最近几周疫苗研发方面传出新的好消息,制药巨头辉瑞、Moderna 和  AstraZeneca 三家制药公司都表示,他们研发的疫苗非常有效;② 预计,2020年全球 GDP 将收缩3.7%,其中美国经济收缩3.6%,欧元区经济收缩7.4%。同时,预计2021年美国经济将增长4%,欧元区经济将增长5.6%;③ 但与此同时,有两个关键风险仍有可能破坏疫情危机后的经济复苏,一个是能够控制好疫情的问题,另一个是可能出现的金融混乱

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