📌 USD, EUR and Safe...from NORDFX Global

08 Dec 2025, 21:02 · Views 1,774

📌 USD, EUR and Safe Havens Before the Fed’s Final Meeting of 2025 📊✨ Markets are gearing up for the Federal Reserve’s last meeting of the year on 9–10 December, with traders pricing an almost 90 percent chance of a 25 bp rate cut. The euro is holding strong, with EUR/USD near 1.1650, supported by resilient euro-zone data and softer US economic signals that weaken demand for the dollar 💱📉 This sentiment is also boosting safe-havens. Gold trades just above 4,200 USD per ounce, as expectations of easier policy make non-yielding assets more attractive 🥇✨ 🔎 What to watch next: • The Fed decision and wording of forward guidance could shift FX direction • US labour and inflation figures may influence dollar sentiment • EUR could extend gains if euro-zone indicators remain upbeat • Safe-haven demand could increase if uncertainty rises 📌 Want to trade the moves around the Fed meeting? Join NordFX here: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 🚀

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🌅 Morning Update (27.11.2025) 🇺🇸 Wall Street closed firmly in the green yesterday. The Nasdaq 100 jumped 0.87%, powered by Nvidia and other chipmakers. The S&P 500 added 0.69%, and the Dow Jones rose 0.67%. 📉 Growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December pushed the US dollar lower, boosting Antipodean currencies and the British pound. 🇺🇸 The US market is closed today for Thanksgiving. 🌏 Asia traded mostly higher. 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 gained 1.1%, 🇭🇰 Hang Seng added 0.34%, and 🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite rose 0.49%, while 🇦🇺 ASX 200 stayed flat. 🏦 RBNZ cut its rate by 25 bp and signalled the end of the easing cycle. 🇯🇵 The yen strengthened early on hopes of a December BoJ hike, but a cautious speech by Board member Noguchi cooled expectations. 🇦🇺 Australian firms delivered the strongest capital investment growth since 2012 – up 6.4% q/q, with record spending on machinery keeping discussions about potential policy tightening alive for 2026. 🇰🇷 The Bank of Korea kept rates unchanged at 2.5%. 🇨🇳 PBoC set the USD/CNY midpoint at 7.0826. Industrial profits rose 1.9% y/y in Jan–Oct, though October alone fell 5.5%, the weakest in five months. 🪙 Commodities: Gold trades near $4,160, silver around $53, supported by Chinese reserves falling to a 10-year low. 💹 Crypto: Market mood is mildly positive ahead of a possible December Fed cut. Bitcoin is back above $90,000, and Ethereum trades above $3,000. ✨ Stay tuned with NordFX – trade smart and make every market move work for you!

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🌅 Morning Update (12.12.2025) 📈 Wall Street is hovering near record highs, but caution is creeping into the tech sector. Broadcom (AVGO.US) slid nearly 5% after earnings, weighing on sentiment. S&P 500 futures are flat, while Nasdaq 100 futures are down around 0.5%. 🗓 With a light macro calendar today, markets are watching speeches from Fed members Paulson, Hammack and Goolsbee. In Europe, attention turns to CPI data from Germany and France, alongside UK GDP figures. 🏛 In Thursday’s cash session, the S&P 500 gained 0.2% to a fresh all-time high. However, some investors trimmed exposure to AI-linked stocks after Oracle’s results. Broadcom’s earnings were record-breaking, but a softer AI sales outlook disappointed markets. 🌏 Asia-Pacific markets are extending gains, supported by record highs on Wall Street and expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific index rose 0.9%, heading for its strongest close since mid-November. 🇯🇵 Japan led the region, with the Topix nearing a record high. Financials outperformed on speculation that the Bank of Japan could raise rates as early as next week. 🇨🇳 China moved in the opposite direction. Despite fresh support measures, the lack of additional fiscal stimulus for 2025 cooled sentiment and triggered profit-taking. 🌍 Global equities remain strong. The MSCI All Country World Index added another 0.1% after hitting a record yesterday and is on track for a ~21% gain in 2025, its best performance in six years. 🛢 Commodities & crypto: 🔩 Copper is stable after a recent record breakout 🏗 Most industrial metals are rising on a more dovish Fed tone 🥇 Gold is correcting after three days of gains, but easing expectations remain 🪙 Silver stays near record levels 🛢 Oil has rebounded from almost two-month lows ₿ bitcoin is range-bound near USD 92,500, struggling to break sustainably above the USD 94,000 area

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🌅 Morning Update | 16 December 2025 🌏 Asia–Pacific markets are extending the sell-off seen on Wall Street. Chinese indices are down by up to 2.20%, Australia is lower by 0.50%, South Korea is down more than 2.00%, while Japan’s JP225 is off 1.35%. The pressure reflects global weakness in the tech sector, stretched valuations and ongoing macro uncertainty rather than local factors. 🇦🇺 RBA outlook: CBA now expects a 25 bp rate hike in February 2026, citing growth near potential, a tight labour market and sticky core inflation. NAB and Citi are even more hawkish, forecasting two hikes in 2026 (February and May). Markets remain cautious, pricing just over a 70% probability of no move in February, with a hike only partially priced later in the year. 🇳🇿 New Zealand: Food-price inflation declined m/m but remains elevated y/y. With food making up nearly 20% of the CPI basket, even small monthly drops can meaningfully ease headline inflation. 📊 Australia PMI: The flash composite PMI slipped to 51.1 in December from 52.6, the lowest in seven months but still in expansion territory. Services weakened on softer exports and rising competition, while manufacturing remained relatively stable. 📉 Consumer sentiment: The Westpac–Melbourne Institute index fell 9% to 94.5, unwinding much of November’s surge and pushing sentiment clearly below the neutral 100 level. 🇯🇵 Japan PMI: The flash composite PMI eased to 51.5 from 52.0, marking a ninth month of expansion at a slower pace. Services remained the main driver, while manufacturing improved to 49.7, the smallest contraction in around 18 months. New orders returned to growth. 🇺🇸 Crypto regulation: The US Senate Banking Committee confirmed it will not take up the long-awaited crypto market-structure bill this year, delaying progress until at least early 2026.

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📊 Do Markets Really Have Seasons? Our new article breaks down how price patterns evolve across Forex, indices and commodities — and what traders should look for as 2025 turns into 2026. 🌍 Find out: • Why seasonality matters — but never works alone • Which markets show the strongest recurring trends • How macro shifts, volatility and sentiment shape seasonal behaviour • How traders can use seasonal awareness to refine timing and stay ahead This is not a myth-busting piece — it’s a practical guide to understanding what calendar patterns really offer traders today. 👉 Read the full article here: 🔗 https://nordfx.com/useful-arti... Stay informed. Trade smarter with NordFX.

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🌅 Morning Update (03.12.2025) 📈 Wall Street ended Tuesday with a modest rebound, and futures continue edging higher as traders wait for today’s US ADP employment data (US2000, US100, US500, US30 ~+0.2%; EU50 ~+0.05%). 🛍️ Retail sentiment improved after the National Retail Federation reported record Black Friday activity — 202.9 million shoppers over five days, beating forecasts and signalling resilient demand despite labour market tightness. 🏛️ Donald Trump called Kevin Hassett a “potential Fed chair”, reinforcing speculation that he may replace Powell early next year. Growing political pressure for easing sent the dollar lower at the session open. 🌏 Asia-Pacific trading remains cautious before US labour and inflation numbers. China leads losses (CHN.cash –1.2%; HK.cash –0.9%) amid slowing services growth, property concerns and credit issues at Vanke. Japan’s JP225 rebounds 0.5%, while Australia’s AU200.cash dips 0.1% after softer GDP. 🇨🇳 China’s services PMI beat estimates (52.1 vs 52), showing steady though slightly slower expansion. Export orders firmed, but employment continued to shrink and input prices rose for a ninth month, squeezing margins. 🇦🇺 Australia’s Q3 GDP rose 0.4% q/q (below the 0.7% forecast). Strong private consumption supported the print, while price pressures boosted rate expectations and helped the AUD. 💱 The dollar is on track for its fourth day of declines as markets price a December Fed cut (USDIDX –0.15%). Sterling leads (GBPUSD, GBPCAD +0.23%), followed by AUDUSD and NZDUSD (+0.24%). EURUSD trades near 1.164. 🥈 Silver slips 0.8% to USD 58/oz, and gold stays flat near USD 4,210/oz. 🛢️ Brent and WTI regain 0.3%, while NATGAS climbs 1.9%. 🪙 Bitcoin moves higher for a second day (+1.3% to USD 93,100), and Ethereum advances 1.4% to USD 3,064. 📌 Stay informed. Trade smart with NordFX

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