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今天因为私事太忙了没时间去分析昨夜的点阵图和鲍威尔的讲话,点阵图终端利率下调,降息50基点,年内还有50基点,11-12月各25个基点,但是小心市场炒作75个基点,2025降息100个基点,因为终端利率下调会影响市场预期空间,鲍威尔似乎想纠正市场偏差预期,黄金触及2600后下跌50美元,空头要开始狂欢了吗? 我个人看空,也持有底仓继续看,但是我需要提醒空头盲目杀入存在风险,黄金应该短期内难以去2600之上,但是存在回调至2570-2580的概率,如果亚盘在2560附近杀入可能有点难受,记住黄金只有跌破2530才全面转空,昨日鸽派利多走出下跌行情,今日保持反弹空是没错,但是点位不对仓位过重会难受,抗不过去可能死。

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