#XAU/USD# 目前高位震荡，说一下结论：1.倾向于还会有个1611以上的高点；2.在这个高点之前，倾向于还有一波下跌，给回落新低到1535以下；3.如果这几天没下跌而是直接到了1611以上，那么继续看到1638-1642至少，多的话1664-1692；4.不管后面怎么走，只要给了1611以上新高，这都是开始接近一个大波段上涨的终结，后市应该都有一个时间较长，幅度较大的下跌；5.也就是说，不管何时到了1611以上，小波段和短线应该继续看多，但中期应该开始转变思路慢慢布局空单了。目前的争议是两个：1.是还有下跌还是直接1611以上；2.1588是不是这次小波段反弹的最高点，还是再上去一点再下去。
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