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技术分析 – 金价反转下跌,但仍维持在2,000上方

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技术分析 – 金价反转下跌,但仍维持在2,000上方

  • 黄金触及强劲阻力后反转下跌
  • 多头信号疲软,但仍持续创下较高低点

金价在1月未能突破强劲阻力位2,065,并且无法创下新高后出现回调,收盘跌破其50日指数移动平均线(EMA)以及自11月开始的支撑趋势线附近的2,025。

技术指标最近显示下行也增加了看空风险,不过,只要价格维持在2,000关口以上,自10月开始形成的较高低点有望延续看涨趋势。

若金价跌破2,000关口,或测试斐波那契回调线23.6%位置和200日指数移动平均线(EMA)形成的1,977-1,956区间。看跌通道的下轨也在附近。因此,进一步下跌或引发新一轮抛售,或下探斐波那契回调线61.8%位置的价格1,938。

若金价反转上涨并突破2,035窄幅区间,交易员或先尝试突破2,065-2,079关键阻力区,成功突破将挑战前期高点2,100。继续上行,或有望挑战历史高点2,144。

综上所述,金价在短期前景或维持中立。若能反转突破2,065-2,079区间或跌破1,977-1,966区间,将改变走势。

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