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风险是你遭受损失的可能性。有三种情况必须要面对:有时你知道风险事件的自然特性和可能性(比如说扔硬币);有时候你只知道这个事件的特性,但不知道其 可能性(比如一只指定20年内的价格);有时候你甚至连未来可能伤害到自己的事件特性都不清楚(比如恶性黑天鹅事件)。

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