FPG: The Federal Reserve hints that the next meeting will continue to tighten and gold will run away. Latest market news: 1. [The Federal Reserve hints that it will continue to tighten at the next meeting] The Federal Reserve released its latest resolution statement saying that inflation has eased, but it is still high. The financial situation will be taken into policy considerations, and the extent of interest rate hikes will be studied. It will be increased several times before the interest rate hike is suspended. No decision has been made on the terminal interest rate, and the outlook shows that interest rates will not be cut this year. The latest market expectations: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 80%, the terminal interest rate reached 4.89% in June, and the interest rate cut by about 50 basis points by the end of the year. Comments: Judging from the Federal Reserve’s statement, the meeting was very dovish, and the gold soared like a runaway wild horse after hearing the news. 2. [OPEC+maintains the existing production policy] On Wednesday, the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Oversight Committee (JMMC) recommended that the group’s existing production policy remain unchanged, and the oil market is waiting for further clarification of China’s oil consumption recovery and Russian supply. After the announcement, international oil prices fell slightly. Comments: At present, it is impossible for the market and government officials to determine the impact of the West on the Russian oil ban, so OPEC+ can strive for more evaluation time. If the market trend is unfavorable in the future, OPEC+ is likely to intervene. 3. [Progress of the situation in Russia and Ukraine] Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Zakharova said at a press conference on February 1 that the United States and NATO are trying to drag Japan and South Korea into the Ukrainian crisis after NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg visited South Korea from January 29 to 30, January Visit Japan from 30 to February 1. In addition, U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin visited South Korea at the end of January. Comment: Since South Korean President Yoon Seyue came to power, the United States has completely changed its previous government’s foreign policy of not standing in line, and is resolutely reversing to the American camp. 4. [FBI Search Biden Holiday Villa] The FBI searched Biden’s vacation villa in Hobos Beach, Delaware, on the 1st, but no confidential documents were found. However, counsel also claims that the FBI took handwritten notes and some materials for further review. It is reported that the search lasted three and a half hours. Comments: Party disputes have intensified contradictions, and the political struggle between the two parties in the United States has become more and more fierce. 5. [Epic strikes broke out in the UK] The largest wave of strikes in the past decade has swept England today: teachers, civil servants, train drivers and university teachers jointly held a strike to protest against salaries and working conditions. More than half a million workers are expected to take to the streets, followed by hospital doctors, nurses and firefighters. Comment: Inflation has led to a significant decline in the real living standards of Western workers. 6. [Small non-farmers in the United States are significantly lower than expected] U.S. ADP reported on Wednesday that employment opportunities in the private sector fell sharply in January due to the reduction of workers caused by weather-related problems. U.S. companies added only 106,000 new employees this month, down from the 253,000 increase last month, after economists had expected to increase by 190,000. Comment: Employment data is a non-agricultural forward-looking indicator, and it also assists the Fed’s pigeon expectations. 7. [If Ukraine shows sincerity, Russia intends to negotiate] Matvi Yenko, chairman of the Russian Federation Council (upper house of parliament), said on February 1 that if Ukraine can show sincerity, Russia intends to negotiate the situation in Ukraine. Russia’s position is clear, clear and transparent. Russia is ready to negotiate without preconditions, and does not try to put forward preconditions for negotiations like Ukraine. But at present, Russia can’t see Ukraine’s sincerity in the negotiations. Comments: The war situation of the Russo-Uzbekish War has changed beyond imagination. At present, Russia is becoming passive. Nanshi, a special analyst at FPG, believes that: Gold fluctuated narrowly in early trading on Wednesday as investors avoided big bets before the release of the Federal Reserve’s new policy decision. However, after the Federal Reserve meeting, after the market confirmed Powell’s attitude, the price of gold rose to around $1,1954. Compared with the previous interest rate resolution, the Federal Reserve statement mainly deleted the description of high inflation. The Committee expects that it would be appropriate to continue to raise the target range in order to limit monetary policy stance enough to return inflation to 2% over time. Dawson, a special analyst at FPG, believes that: The pound may be treated “more severely” by the market, because the intensification of the British strike may cause foreign exchange traders to have a negative attitude towards the pound. Central bank interest rate decisions are coming one after another this week. In order to avoid direct exposure to the US dollar, the euro against the pound may become a tool to bearish the pound. But in fact, traders do not need to pay attention to finding the bearish pound. At present, the pound has faced a lot of headwinds. For example, the UK is experiencing the worst strike in a decade, British commodity inflation hits a record high, the number of mortgage licenses in the UK is at a two-and-a-half-year low, and Brexit has dragged down 4% of Britain’s GDP. In addition, the political situation in Britain is chaotic enough to “retreat” offshore investors to hold the British pound, which has also lost support for the pound on another level. Today’s operation strategy is mainly high-altitude, and the first goal is 1.23500 Dave, a special analyst at FPG, believes that: Oil prices have risen in the short term, and signs of a slowdown in inflation in the United States have eased concerns that the world’s largest oil consumer may face a recession due to further interest rate hikes. However, Russia tends to increase oil exports to Asian buyers at large discounts, which may disrupt the balance of the oil market and limit the increase. The market is waiting for the results of the OPEC+ meeting. On the other hand, due to the decline in Iraqi exports and the fact that Nigerian production has not returned to normal, OPEC member countries fell in January, with a gap of about 920,000 barrels per day compared with the target production set in the OPEC+ agreement, up from 780,000 barrels in December last year. The day is expanding. Today’s intraday trading is suggested to adopt a high-altitude strategy, and the following is 74. The above analysis is only for the views of market researchers and is for reference only and is not Regarded as a specific investment suggestion. #Forex #trading #tradingforex