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  首先PCE有效降低,这是CPI降低的前置重要点,那随着鲍威尔打消联储“鹰”派言论,主线方面12月降息至50基点是必然,本月重点关注13号CPI公布及15号议息结果及内容,看25基点何时出现及何时停止缩表,美股方面本月已反弹20%,这是牛熊分界线,而币圈还没有从该FTX事件彻底走出,影响后续会逐步降低直至淡忘,正面消息出炉和基本面逐渐恢复,是市场的底气,资金回流是迟早的事情。      技术面:昨日大饼脱离日级均线之后冲顶失败价格开始向均线靠拢,这是常识,毕竟大熊市形成超级单边跟风进场是比较困难的,市场有上涨的底气,但缺少跟风,前日日级小幅上涨出现上影,隔日低开回落收阴是正常的,但目前多头还是处于强势中低位埋伏多单为主,要想长期屹立于市场,保持杜绝一夜暴富的心理,稳健的步伐持续盈利,才是关键,方法,心态,操作,分析缺一不可,学会积少成多,保持复利。

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