当前外汇市场位于上半年与下半年重要交错期，汇率水平逆转以及设计方向均较为敏感，但是出于美元自身考量的汇率趋势，美元升值风险太大，美元贬值急切将是未来值得关注的动向。预计本周美元贬值是关注点，虽然操作上难度很大，但估计边缘指标配合推进或是有可能的氛围与空间。尤其黄金下跌有点蹊跷，未来上涨助力美元贬值存在可能。石油上涨将是必然趋势，对石油论证的综合比较值得关注偏颇判断的错觉与盲区，这对美元指数参考十分重要。
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