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欧元兑美元昨日收盘大幅回落0.27%后,今日开盘维持在1.1602水平,由于美元受经济数据利好而小幅走强,伴随德国商业指数普遍下跌,导致欧元下行疲软。 日前市场在本周四欧央决议前保持平静,预计周四的会议不会宣布太重大的调整,不过欧央行官员对市场若有进一步的评论,并探讨通胀压力上升需要到什么程度才会影响利率调整话,市场将会受欧央影响而改变对利率调整的看法。许多分析师包含澳新银行认为,虽然欧央行已提出今年 12 月的会议上预计将全面调整PEPP,但仍需关注目前通胀上升的水平。对于明年加息的预期,本行不认为欧央行会按预期调整,表明仍须关注市场通胀状态是否为持续性现象。 昨日财经事件数据方面,Ifo经济研究机构公布德国10月各项商业指数普遍比预期值走低,包含景气指数下跌至97.7及预期指数下跌95.4,不过现况指数高于预期至100.1,显示出德国境内经济活动成长较上个月趋缓。 从上方压制(上方阻力) 1.1600,1.1650;从下行方向看,下方支撑1.1580。

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