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美元指数昨日盘中跳空下跌后回吐涨回0.03%,今日开盘维持在92.61附近,日前美国CPI数据明显下跌,显示通胀压力很可能正逐渐退去。 根据昨日通胀放缓下滑之际,市场对于先前应需提早缩减的想法逐渐减小,许多分析师认为美联储将可能维持购债规模。不过由于供应链仍遇到短缺的瓶颈,因此不论在CPI或PPI指数上不会短期大幅下降。日前市场趋于将注意力集中在变异病毒不确定性影响美国经济成长的幅度。下周美联储将举行为期两天的货币政策会议,此项数据是否会牵动到后续的决议还尚不明朗,不过此前美联储几位官员曾暗示可能在年底前减少购债。如果下周有收紧货币政策,将会减少市场流通美元的数量,进而提振美元走升。反之,美元指数将可能仍呈持平状态。 昨日财经事件数据方面,美国劳工部公布8月CPI指数比预期值下滑至273.57 (报5.3%),核心CPI年月率同比下跌4%和0.1%,反映出在民生产品及成本价格上有微幅的趋缓,通胀似乎走过高峰后正逐渐下跌,如先前美联储所述的通胀暂时性可能才正要缓慢进行。 从上行方向来看,上方压制(上方阻力) 92.60,93.00;从下行方向看,下方支撑92.10。

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