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英镑兑美元昨日收盘大幅回落,今日开盘跌至1.3796,本次英国就业数据利好似乎未能支撑英镑持续涨势,后期受美元强势而下滑。 经过上周英国首相所公布的增税计划似乎不对英镑未来走势造成威胁,由于这些金费将用于投入公共支出,在提高国民保险税对经济成长上影响力不高。不过许多分析师认为,随着增税计划上路后,通胀上行的风险可能会越大,进而促使英国央行将可能发出政策正常化,即货币政策将恢复到疫情前水平来推动英镑上涨。 昨日财经事件数据方面,英国国家统计局公布7月三个月ILO失业率维持在4.6%,就业人数为18.3万人,显示出英国当月失业比率维持固定不变,而在三个月平均工资年率上剔除和包括红利皆分别维持在6.8%和8.3%。在8月就业数据方面,失业率和失业金申请人数皆比前期下滑至5.4%和-5.86万人,就业数据的改善凸显出市场正慢慢恢复以往水平。 从上方压制(上方阻力) 1.3790,1.3830;从下行方向看,下方支撑1.3750。

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