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美国DOL将于周五公布备受关注的非农就业人口数据,ADP 报告将为此提供参考。经济学家预计,非农就业人数将增加70.6万人,5月份为55.9万人,失业率预计将从5.8%降至5.6%。然而,ADP和DOL的数据往往相差很大。美国6月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于50万至86万,失业率料介于5.5%-5.8%,平均时薪年率增幅料介于3.4%-3.9%。投资者消化了2023年部分收紧政策的预期。这应会继续帮助美元走强,因市场预期美联储会率先开始收紧货币政策,美国的经济增长速度可能远超欧洲。路透社撰文指出,劳动市场走强的迹象可能会增添美联储加快加息步伐的压力,并提振美元,而如果数据不及预期,美元将变得脆弱。

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