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#GBP/USD#本周以来英镑相对跑赢了欧元及瑞郎等其他欧系货币,主要因为英国央行在政策前景预测上相比此前已经有所缓和,称负利率措施并不是不可或缺,这令货币政策落差被进一步收窄。虽然去年以来英镑已经录得了可观的升幅,但是眼下在脱欧问题尘埃落定后,英镑仍比2016年6月脱欧公投前夜低了10%,显示英镑事实上仍相对公允价值水平被低估,这也意味着在硬脱欧风险已彻底排除后,英镑仍存在进一步价值回归的空间。只要之后的经济走向一如预期,在靠着疫苗达到群体免疫目标后英国经济开始持续强势复苏,那么英镑就会跟进走强。但是,如果美元指数得到反弹恢复元气,那英镑的上行恐将受到抑制。目前日线图上,上方的关键阻力在1.3710,只有突破了,上方空间方能得到进一步的拓展,否则将出现振荡下修的局面。

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