目前美元指数相较之前的弱势出现一定的反弹，这主要是受美元长端利率上涨的影响，促使美元指数上涨。本周二随着美债收益率的回落，削弱了美指近期反弹的动能，使得美指三日连涨的局面戛然而止。不过，个人仍然看空美元指数。首先，疫情方面，美国疫情尚未抵达拐点，疫苗的全面铺开仍需时日，这在未来仍将拖累美国经济。数据方面，可以看到上周公布的12月非农就业数据为负，显示出疫情对经济复苏的影响。其次，美联储表示暂时不会讨论缩减购债规模，并承诺继续保持量化宽松，这将使美元指数承压。最后，美国当选总统拜登表示将会推出更大规模的刺激计划，加之上周民主党获得参议院多数席位的情况，将有助于未来拜登推行其政策，市场对刺激计划持乐观态度，使得风险情绪回升，减弱美元的吸引力。
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