#EUR/USD#尽管美元指数暂时还处于疲软状态，但是欧元却反弹乏力，因市场对于欧洲疫情的走向，以及欧洲央行的政策前景仍持有谨慎预期。此外，美联储缩减购债预期也打压欧元。多位美联储官员预测，美国经济能在下半年强劲复苏，2021年缩减购债规模成为可能，这比市场预期的时间要早。若美联储的购债需求减少，将推高债券的收益率，也可能为美元提供支撑，从而对欧元造成打压。欧元的技术面也倾向下行。实际上，即便欧元上周触及1.2350左右的高位，日线图上衡量动能的指标仍在下滑，并释放短期可能转为下行的信号。欧元的周线图显示，其RSI出现背离，可能回踩2020年-2021年上行趋势线切入位1.1936附近。因此近期的操作还是以防欧元下行为主。
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