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中期看涨欧元兑美元:三菱东京日联银行认为,中期维持看涨欧元兑美元倾向,料整理于1.1900-1.2500区间,近期的走高主要反映得是美元全盘疲弱,而不是欧元走强,继突破7月末以来维持的1.1600-1.2000区间顶部后,延续上涨,目前预期欧元兑美元将持稳于1.2000-1.2500区间上沿;仍然假设欧盟和英国将在年底之前最后一刻达成贸易协议,从而避免明年初对欧元区经济造成更严重的破坏,但近期无协议脱欧的风险有所加大,欧洲央行仍对欧元走强对经济增长的影响和通胀下行风险感到担忧,但尚未准备好进一步降息至负值以抑制欧元走强

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