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英国脱欧谈判料仍夜长梦多,英镑汇价不排除重新下探1.2920;① 英镑兑美元在周一进入欧洲时段后快速回落逾60点,失守1.32关口,并回吐日内全部涨幅,因最新消息显示英国与欧盟的脱欧谈判在关键议题上仍然陷入僵局,这也令投资者担心,在距年底大限仅剩六周的状况下,“硬脱欧”这一最糟糕结局是否能真的得以避免;② 日内爱尔兰外长科夫尼称,英国与欧盟在关键的渔业问题上之谈判“进展不顺”,这令英镑汇价应声开始急速回落,而投资者也因而更担心之后的进一步谈判进程。尤其,虽然本周稍后欧盟峰会的核心议题将是抗疫问题,但是英国脱欧这一敏感话题的进展,届时也将不可避免被提及;③ 因此,业内机构德商银行基于脱欧谈判进程当下进一步陷入僵局,以及英国与欧元区各自在疫情中面临着更多压力的大环境,在中短线期限重新看空英镑,认为在上周的上行势头止步于1.33上方的前期跌幅78.6%斐波那契回撤位之后,后市大趋势将重新下探1.30关口,也正好是55日均线切入位的水平,而一旦在信心进一步恶化的背景下1.30心理关口失守,汇价就将进一步下踩至1.2920一线

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