欧元上行空间仍受限，年内将继续交投于1.16-20区间；① 欧元兑美元汇价在周三欧市盘初进一步回落，失守1.18关口，这令上周一度录得的上行趋势面临进一步被反转。荷兰合作银行的分析师因而指出，欧元汇价当前仍未做出方向上的根本抉择，年内剩余时间料仍在1.16-1.20区间继续徘徊；② 该行的分析师指出，虽然近期美元指数在美国选情影响下持续的弱势趋势对欧元汇价总体上仍有拉动作用，但这无法抵消欧洲疫情的影响和欧元区各国经济数据在近期的再度疲软。在此状况下，欧洲央行依旧将维持的宽松力场也会限制欧元汇价的上限，在没有重大意外的情况下，年内欧元兑美元很难有机会上破并站稳1.20关口；③ 荷兰合作银行并指出，一旦美国政治纠纷尘埃落定，财政协议获得通过，那么美元指数将有望重入上行通道，并对非美货币重新构成打压，在此背景下，预计欧元兑美元有望在2021年上半年进一步下探至1.14一线
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